Experts are tracking asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a 1.2% chance of impacting Earth in 2032. Observations continue to refine its path.

A dive into probabilities, asteroid impact modeling, and what sort of damage an approximately 180-foot asteroid could cause on Earth.

An asteroid the size of a skyscraper, 2024 YR4, has caught NASA’s attention due to a slight chance — just over 1% — of impacting Earth in 2032. While this sounds alarming, history shows that similar early warnings often fade with more observations.

It's actually good news that NASA spotted a sizable asteroid with a (small) chance of hitting Earth in 2032. It means our asteroid-sleuthing telescopes are working.

The closest of the asteroids to us—estimated to be about the size of a car—is whizzing through space at 27,358 miles per hour.

The asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, jumped to the top of NASA's risk chart, with a slim but measurable chance of striking Earth in just seven years.

Astronomers are monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a slim 1.2% chance of colliding with Earth on December 22, 2032. Measuring between 40 and 100 meters wide, if it impacts, it could cause significant blast damage.

YR4 was first discovered in December last year by a telescope in Chile. The near-Earth asteroid is as big as a football field, measuring 40 to 100 metres across.

A newly discovered 100-meter-wide asteroid, 2024 YR4, has triggered a global defense plan for the first time in history! With a 1.3% chance of impact in 2032, NASA and the European Space Agency are closely monitoring its trajectory.